释义 |
Random Walk--1-DLet steps of equal length be taken along a Line. Let be the probability of taking a step to the right, theprobability of taking a step to the left, the number of steps taken to the right, and the number of steps taken tothe left. The quantities , , , , and are related by
| (1) |
and
| (2) |
Now examine the probability of taking exactly steps out of to the right. There are ways of taking steps to the right and to the left, where is a Binomial Coefficient.The probability of taking a particular ordered sequence of and steps is . Therefore,
| (3) |
where is a Factorial. This is a Binomial Distribution and satisfies
| (4) |
The Mean number of steps to the right is then
| (5) |
but
| (6) |
so
From the Binomial Theorem,
| (8) |
The Variance is given by
| (9) |
But
| (10) |
so
| (11) |
and
Therefore,
| (13) |
and the Root-Mean-Square deviation is
| (14) |
For a large number of total steps , the Binomial Distribution characterizing the distribution approaches a Gaussian Distribution.
Consider now the distribution of the distances traveled after a given number of steps,
| (15) |
as opposed to the number of steps in a given direction. The above plots show for and three values, , and , respectively. Clearly, weighting the steps toward one direction or the other influences theoverall trend, but there is still a great deal of random scatter, as emphasized by the plot below, which shows three randomwalks all with . Surprisingly, the most probable number of sign changes in a walk is 0, followed by 1, then 2,etc.
For a random walk with , the probability of traveling a given distance after steps is given in the following table. steps | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 2 | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | 3 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 4 | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | | 5 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | |
In this table, subsequent rows are found by adding Half of each cell in a given row to each of the two cellsdiagonally below it. In fact, it is simply Pascal's Triangle padded with intervening zeros and with eachrow multiplied by an additional factor of 1/2. The Coefficients in this triangle are given by
| (16) |
The expectation value of the distance after steps is therefore
This sum can be done symbolically by separately considering the cases Even and Odd. First,consider Even so that . ThenBut this sum can be evaluated analytically as
| (19) |
which, when combined with and plugged back in, gives
| (20) |
But the Legendre Duplication Formula gives
| (21) |
so
| (22) |
Now consider Odd, so . ThenBut the Hypergeometric Function has the special value
| (24) |
so
| (25) |
Summarizing the Even and Odd solutions,
| (26) |
where
| (27) |
Written explicitly in terms of ,
| (28) |
The first few values of are then
Now, examine the asymptotic behavior of . The asymptotic expansion of the Gamma Function ratio is
| (29) |
(Graham et al. 1994), so plugging in the expression for gives the asymptotic series
| (30) |
where the top signs are taken for Even and the bottom signs for Odd. Therefore, for large ,
| (31) |
which is also shown in Mosteller et al. (1961, p. 14).See also Binomial Distribution, Catalan Number, p-Good Path, Pólya's Random WalkConstants, Random Walk--2-D, Random Walk--3-D, Self-Avoiding Walk References
Chandrasekhar, S. ``Stochastic Problems in Physics and Astronomy.'' Rev. Modern Phys. 15, 1-89, 1943. Reprinted in Noise and Stochastic Processes (Ed. N. Wax). New York: Dover, pp. 3-91, 1954.Feller, W. Ch. 3 in An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1, 3rd ed., rev. printing. New York: Wiley, 1968. Gardner, M. Chs. 6-7 in Mathematical Carnival: A New Round-Up of Tantalizers and Puzzles from Scientific American. New York: Vintage Books, 1977. Graham, R. L.; Knuth, D. E.; and Patashnik, O. Answer to problem 9.60 in Concrete Mathematics: A Foundation for Computer Science, 2nd ed. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1994. Hersh, R. and Griego, R. J. ``Brownian Motion and Potential Theory.'' Sci. Amer. 220, 67-74, 1969. Kac, M. ``Random Walk and the Theory of Brownian Motion.'' Amer. Math. Monthly 54, 369-391, 1947. Reprinted in Noise and Stochastic Processes (Ed. N. Wax). New York: Dover, pp. 295-317, 1954. Mosteller, F.; Rourke, R. E. K.; and Thomas, G. B. Probability and Statistics. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1961. |