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单词 Martingale
释义

martingale


MartingalesMathworldPlanetmath definition

Definition. Let (Ω,,(t)t𝕋,) be a filtered probability space and (Xt) be a stochastic processMathworldPlanetmath such that Xt is integrable (http://planetmath.org/Integral2) for all t𝕋. Then, X=(Xt,t) is called a submartingale if

𝔼[Xt|s]Xs,for every s<t, a.e.[],

and a supermartigale if

𝔼[Xt|s]Xs,for every s<t, a.e.[].

A submartingale that is also a supermartingale is called amartingale, i.e., a martingale satisfies

𝔼[Xt|s]=Xs,forevery s<t, a.e.[].

Similarly, if the {t} form a decreasing collectionMathworldPlanetmath of σ-subalgebras of , then X is called a reverse submartingale if

𝔼[Xs|t]Xt,for every s<t, a.e.[],

and a reverse supermartingale if

𝔼[Xs|t]Xt,for every s<t, a.e.[].

Remarks

  • The martingale property captures the idea of a fair bet, where theexpected future value is equal to the current value.

  • The submartingale property is equivalentMathworldPlanetmathPlanetmathPlanetmathPlanetmath to

    AXt𝑑AXs𝑑for every As and s<t

    and similarly for the other definitions. This is immediatefrom the definition of conditional expectation.

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