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单词 PoissonProcess
释义

Poisson process


A counting processMathworldPlanetmath {X(t)t+{0}} is called asimple Poisson, or simply a Poisson processMathworldPlanetmath withparameter λ, also known as the intensity, if

  1. 1.

    X(0)=0,

  2. 2.

    {X(t)} has stationary independent increments,

  3. 3.

    P(X(t)=1)=λt+o(t),

  4. 4.

    P(X(t)>1)=o(t),

where o(t) is the O notation.

Remarks.

  • The intensity λ is assumed to be a constant in terms of t.

  • Condition 3 above says that the rate in which the an event occurs once in time interval t, as t approaches 0, is λ. Condition 4 says that the event occurs more than once is very unlikely (the rate approaches zero as the time interval shrinks to zero).

  • It can be shown that X(t) has a Poisson distributionMathworldPlanetmath (hence the name of the stochastic processMathworldPlanetmath) with parameter λt:

    P(X(t)=n)=e-λt(λt)nn!.
  • Therefore, E[X(t)]=λt.

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