单词 | Sharing Problem | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
释义 | Sharing ProblemA problem also known as the Points Problem or Unfinished Game. Consider a tournament involving playersplaying the same game repetitively. Each game has a single winner, and denote the number of games won by player atsome juncture . The games are independent, and the probability of the th player winning a game is . Thetournament is specified to continue until one player has won games. If the tournament is discontinued before anyplayer has won games so that for , ..., , how should the prize money be shared in order todistribute it proportionally to the players' chances of winning? For player , call the number of games left to win the ``quota.'' For two players, let and be the probabilities of winning a single game, and and bethe number of games needed for each player to win the tournament. Then the stakes should be divided in the ratio ,where
(Kraitchik 1942). If players have equal probability of winning (``cell probability''), then the chance of player winning for quotas ,..., is
An expression for is given by Sobel and Frankowski (1994, p. 838).See also Dirichlet Integrals
Kraitchik, M. ``The Unfinished Game.'' §6.1 in Mathematical Recreations. New York: W. W. Norton, pp. 117-118, 1942. Sobel, M. and Frankowski, K. ``The 500th Anniversary of the Sharing Problem (The Oldest Problem in the Theory of Probability).'' Amer. Math. Monthly 101, 833-847, 1994. |
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