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单词 Bayes' Formula
释义

Bayes' Formula

Let and be Sets. Conditional Probability requires that

(1)

where denotes Intersection (``and''), and also that
(2)

and
(3)

Since (2) and (3) must be equal,
(4)

From (2) and (3),
(5)

Equating (5) with (2) gives
(6)

so
(7)

Now, let
(8)

so is an event in and for , then
(9)


(10)

From (5), this becomes
(11)

so
(12)

See also Conditional Probability, Independent Statistics


References

Press, W. H.; Flannery, B. P.; Teukolsky, S. A.; and Vetterling, W. T. Numerical Recipes in FORTRAN: The Art of Scientific Computing, 2nd ed. Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press, p. 810, 1992.


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