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单词 Bertrand's Problem
释义

Bertrand's Problem

What is the Probability that a Chord drawn at Random on a Circle ofRadius has length ? The answer, it turns out, depends on the interpretation of ``two points drawn atRandom.'' In the usual interpretation that Angles and are picked at Random on the Circumference,


However, if a point is instead placed at Random on a Radius of the Circle and aChord drawn Perpendicular to it,


The latter interpretation is more satisfactory in the sense that the result remains the same for a rotated Circle, aslightly smaller Circle Inscribed in the first, or for a Circle of the same size but with its centerslightly offset. Jaynes (1983) shows that the interpretation of ``Random'' as a continuousUniform Distribution over the Radius is the only one possessing all these three invariances.


References

Bogomolny, A. ``Bertrand's Paradox.'' http://www.cut-the-knot.com/bertrand.html.

Jaynes, E. T. Papers on Probability, Statistics, and Statistical Physics. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Reidel, 1983.

Pickover, C. A. Keys to Infinity. New York: Wiley, pp. 42-45, 1995.


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